What the data says
Low to mid 60s at thirteen, mid 80s by eighteen
One of the larger public looks at this pulled fastball readings from showcase events for pitchers thirteen to eighteen. The middle of the pack at thirteen sat around 65 mph, with a quarter of pitchers near 60 and a quarter near 70. The typical pitcher added roughly five or six mph a year through sixteen, then two or three a year after that, and the middle of the pack at eighteen was in the mid to upper 80s. Keep in mind who is in that sample: kids good enough to be at showcases, so the average high school pitcher throws a little slower than these numbers.
